Obama Cabinet Watch

We have a few more signs to read in trying to perceive what kind of North Korea policy we can expect from the Obama Administration: – Predictably, North Korea is trying to hit “reset” in its negotiations with the United States, in the hope of exchanging the same yet-to-be broken promises for a whole new round of concessions. Having gotten pretty much everything it wanted from Chris Hill, all that’s left to demand is the establishment of full diplomatic relations....

Coal to Newcastle, Meth to Wonsan

North Korea, which is now said to be awash in some of the illicit drugs it manufactures for export, chiefly to Japan, has released a Japanese man it accused of drug trafficking. A Japanese man held in North Korea since 2003 on suspicion of smuggling drugs left the country on Tuesday, North Korea’s official media reported. The man, identified as Yoshiaki Sawada, has been allowed to leave ”thanks to a humanitarian measure taken by an institution concerned” in North Korea,...

Chris Hill Screws Up North Korea Diplomacy, Demands Promotion

A recent consensus has formed around the collapse of the latest round of denuclearization talks for North Korea: that the U.S. State Department’s North Korea policy, formulated by Christopher R. Hill, assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs, had a disturbing lack of concern for human rights and had been largely ineffective in obtaining any substantial security concessions from the North Korean regime. The Kim Jong-il-run enclave saw right through the past months of talks as a...

Defections from North Korea to South Rose in 2008

The Chosun Ilbo reports that defections from North Korea rose 10% in 2008 compared to 2007. This may or may not tell us anything about economic or political conditions in the North as opposed to last year. The number of new arrivals in South Korea is a small trickle from a vast reserve of North Koreans hiding in China — estimates vary from 50,000 to 300,000. Not all of the new arrivals in the South are necessarily recent escapees, given...

Some Good Advice We’d Follow if We Were Smarter

What our negotiations with North Korea have always lacked was structure — starting with spine — but also deadlines, benchmarks, clear expectations, and clear consequences for reneging on agreed terms. As a result, two decades of American nuclear diplomacy have accomplished little except to solidify and reward North Korea’s instincts for stalling, lying, cheating, and moving the goalposts, often in ways that pose grave dangers to our national security. Occasionally, enough Americans notice this pattern that American politicians feel compelled...

Obama Cabinet Watch: Will Kurt Campbell Be the New Chris Hill?

Update: Or, Chris Hill might succeed at keeping his job. BBC monitoring, quoting the Japanese Monthly Sentaku, claims that Richard Holbrooke is leaning on Hillary Clinton to keep Hill, and that the Japanese are wary about that possibility. No link, sorry. Hope! Change! If this piece in the Washington Times has it right, it’s going to be Harvard Professor Kurt Campbell, who also advised the Pentagon on Asia-Pacific issues during the Clinton Administration and a number of other government and...

Pueblo Crew Gives North Korea the Middle Finger Again

In these times, terrorists, whose training manuals teach them to fabricate claims of torture, can sue law enforcement officers for damages in our courts for having the temerity to interrupt their plans. If we’ve dispensed with the idea of keeping disputes between individuals and states out of the courts, it’s at least just to allow American victims of torture to seek compensation against those — including foreign states — who wronged them. A few years ago, Congress removed an impediment...

Conscience in Unlikely Places

The Myanmar junta released 19 North Korean defectors into Thailand on Wednesday following their arrest in December, a diplomat said Thursday. The 19 North Koreans, including 15 women and a 7-year-old boy, were arrested at the Myanmar-Thai border town of Tarchilek on Dec. 2 while trying to cross into Thailand en route to South Korea, the same source said. [Kyodo News] It’s hard to understand why that regime, with its bizarre reliance on numerology, does anything. I suspect this doesn’t...

Rice Denies Idiocy Rumors

The first rule of escaping an obvious conclusion is not to suggest it yourself: Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said in an interview released on Friday only an “idiot” would trust North Korea, which is why the United States is insisting on a way to check its nuclear claims. [Reuters] Well, thanks for clearing that up for us, Madame Secretary. Was this just a case of protesting too much or does this suggest that Maoist self-criticism will be this year’s...

Of Fools and Their Money

When North Korea first started ejecting South Koreans from Kaesong, I noted that the Kaesong project was already economically marginal and falling well short of its ambitious goals. I also predicted that the North Korean move would be fatal to the project’s efforts to coax cowardly capital into a potential war zone controlled by the world’s most opaque, least capital-friendly regime. That prediction has already come true. The leftist Hankyoreh is reporting that South Korean companies are fleeing for the...

Chris Hill Resignation Watch

Jack and Wolmae point to a statement by Chris Hill that Obama’s people have not invited him to stick around. On balance, I agree they probably won’t, but I’m not sure I agree that this article answers the question. First, parse Hill’s words. When asked if Obama’s people asked him to stay, he said, “I haven’t talked to anybody about my future.” Even for Hill, that statement contains a lot of loopholes. Second, consider the credibility of the source. I’ll...

Even the Metaphors Are Deadlocked!

In the summary of its December 15th press briefing following the collapse of the Not-Quite-Agreed Framework, the State Department admitted that the talks are at an impasse and declared that the “[b]all is in North Korea’s court.” Interestingly, the Chosun Ilbo, summarizing a Rodong Sinmun editorial calling on North Koreans to unite around “the strength of comradeship,” headlines with the opposite conclusion: “Ball Is in America’s Court, N.Korea Warns.” Here, I must register rare agreement with our State Department. Our...

WaPo Finally ‘Discovers’ Concentration Camps in North Korea

I submit that any man so morally retarded that he would utter the statement quoted below is not qualified to represent the values or interests of the United States abroad. And South Korea isn’t alone in tuning out the horrors. The United States is more concerned with containing North Korea’s nuclear ambitions. The State Department’s stunning lack of urgency was captured in a recent statement from its assistant secretary for Asia, Christopher R. Hill: “Each country, including our own, needs...

Kaesong Worker Defects

So, I was wondering, just how popular is the Workers’ Paradise among its hand-picked proletariat, that is, those able to pass the best family history, background, and loyalty screening the government of North Korea can manage? Not very, evidently: A North Korean defector who escaped from an inter-Korean industrial complex in the border city of Kaesong where she was employed remains in a third country, a South Korean activist here said Wednesday. The 27-year-old woman, whose identity was withheld for...

Surely our government has bigger shoes than this to throw?

Taking a page, no doubt, from Richard Nixon’s Christmas bombing of Hanoi, President Bush has decided that Pyongyang must face stern measures for reneging on its most recent agreement to verifiably disarm: No more fuel oil for you! The humanity! Well, all I can say is, thank God he didn’t disinvite the Pyongyang State Symphony. How many more days until this cowboy diplomacy madness ends?